Discussion Papers

We propose a novel approach to measure the costs of aggregate economic fluctuations, that does not require specification of preferences or the data...

We propose a novel way to estimate a portfolio’s abnormal price, the percentage gap between price and the present value of dividends computed with a...

We study exchange rate expectations in surveys of financial professionals and find that they successfully forecast currency appreciation at the two...

Hybrid regimes feature combinations of democratic and autocratic attributes. Their common element is a leader who cultivates a clientele of favored...

We study the short-term effects and long-term consequences of Fed crisis interventions on market fears — the risk perception of large asset price...

We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the...

Argentina’s progress towards legal equality for women has been slower than in most other Latin American countries. In 1971 Argentina’s score of 31 on...

As the financial authorities increase their use of artificial intelligence (AI), micro regulations, such as consumer protection and routine banking...

This paper examines how market power affects coverage in a general class of insurance models. We show that market power decreases coverage for...

Since 2017, the United Arab Emirates have introduced several gender legal reforms after decades of poor performance on economic and social equality...

We study the role of multinationals (MNCs) in facilitating firm-level and aggregate structural transformation. Using a stylized model of multinational...

The existing literature has documented “reaching for yield” - the phenomenon of investing more in risky assets when interest rates drop - among...

I propose a novel method to identify the exogenous monetary shock from the signaling effect of a Fed announcements in real time. The method relies on...

There is little direct empirical evidence on the investment behavior of wealthy households. Based on a proprietary database of investment portfolios...

In this paper, we explore the consequences of low nominal interest rates for credit supply, macroeconomic outcomes and policy. Using the protracted...

We develop a dynamic model of DeFi lending that incorporates the following key features: 1) borrowing and lending are decentralized, anonymous...