Multilateral surveillance: Ensuring a focus on key risks to global stability
The 2007/9 crisis and the ongoing transformation of the global economy call for a rethink of the scope of the Fund’s multilateral surveillance. This...
What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models
The Swiss central bank last week abandoned its euro exchange rate ceiling. This column argues that the fallout from the decision demonstrates the...
Averting financial crisis
Jeffrey Chwieroth and Jon Danielsson discuss the political challenges of the macroprudential agenda in the ESRC's annual flagship magazine Britain in...
Great Expectations, Veto Players, and the Changing Politics of Banking Crises
How have the politics of banking crises changed over the long run? Unlike existing static accounts, we offer a dynamic theory emphasizing how the...
Brave New World? Macro Prudential Policy and the new Political Economy of The Federal Reserve
The Financial Crisis that started in 2007 ushered in new responsibilities for central banks, particularly for what is termed “macro-prudential policy...
The Optimal Consumption Function in a Brownian Model of Accumulation Part B: Existence of Solutions of Boundary Value Problems
In Part A of the present study, subtitled 'The Consumption Function as Solution of a Boundary Value Problem' Discussion Paper No. TE/96/297, STICERD...
Information Asymmetries, Volatility, Liquidity, and the Tobin Tax
We develop a tractable model in which trade is generated by asymmetry in agents' information sets. We show that, even if news are not generated by a...
Destabilizing carry trades
We offer a model of currency carry trades in which carry traders earn positive excess returns if they successfully coordinate on supplying excessive...
Does the Bond-Stock Earning Yield Differential Model Predict Equity Market Corrections Better Than High P/E Models?
In this paper, we extend the literature on crash prediction models in three main respects. First, we relate explicitly crash prediction measures and...
Moral Hazard and Debt Maturity
We present a model of the maturity of a bank’s uninsured debt. The bank borrows funds and chooses afterwards the riskiness of its assets. This moral...
How to lose money in derivatives: examples from hedge funds and bank trading departments
What makes futures hedge funds fail? The common ingredient is over betting and not being diversified in some bad scenarios that can lead to disaster...
The Economics of Collateral
In this paper we study how the use of collateral is evolving under the influence of regulatory reform and changing market structure. We start with a...
Model Risk of Risk Models
This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models...
Diversification and Financial Stability
This paper contributes to a growing literature on the pitfalls of diversification by shedding light on a new mechanism under which, full risk...
Walrasian foundations for equilibria in segmented markets
Mathematics and Financial Economics, Volume 8, pages 249–264.
