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Publications

The Capital Markets programme examines how different types of agents interact in financial markets. The latest research from Capital Markets members is made available in our working papers collection. This cutting edge work is free to download, and designed to inspire scholarly debate.

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Special Papers

The Fallibility of the Efficient Market Theory: a new paradigm

The efficient market theory has failed to explain the market behavior and asset pricing of recent years. A new model that incorporates the principal...

April 2014
Paul Woolley

Discussion Papers

Ties that Bind: How business connections affect mutual fund activism

We investigate how business ties with portfolio firms influence mutual funds’ proxy voting using a comprehensive dataset spanning 2003 to 2011. In...

April 2014
DP 731
Dragana Cvijanovic
Amil Dasgupta
Konstantinos E. Zachariadis

Academic journals

Bond supply and excess bond returns

Review of Financial Studies, 27 (3). pp. 663-713. 

March 2014
Robin Greenwood
Dimitri Vayanos

Discussion Papers

Liquidity Risk and the Dynamics of Arbitrage Capital

We develop a dynamic model of liquidity provision, in which hedgers can trade multiple risky assets with arbitrageurs. We compute the equilibrium in...

February 2014
DP 730
Peter Kondor
Dimitri Vayanos

Academic journals

Dynamic equilibrium with two stocks, heterogeneous investors, and portfolio constraints

Review of Financial Studies, 26 (12). pp. 3104-3141. 

December 2013
Georgy Chabakauri

Opinion Pieces

Chasing trends is a dangerous game

Big investors currently pursue two very different strategies when appointing external managers. Their traditional approach is to hire fund managers...

October 2013
Paul Woolley

Academic journals

Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment

Journal of Financial Economics, 109 (2). pp. 566-582. 

August 2013
Itay Goldstein
Emre Ozdenoren
Kathy Yuan

Academic journals

Anticipated and repeated shocks in liquid markets

Review of Financial Studies, 26 (8). pp. 1891-1912.

August 2013
Dong Lou
Hongjun Yan
Jinfan Zhang

Academic journals

Bond market clienteles, the yield curve, and the optimal maturity structure of government debt

Review of Financial Studies, 26 (8). pp. 1914-1961. 

August 2013
Stéphane Guibaud
Yves Nosbusch
Dimitri Vayanos

Opinion Pieces

Momentum investing is bad for your wealth

Managers should focus on companies, not prices, says Paul Woolley.

July 2013
Paul Woolley

Discussion Papers

Mortgage Hedging in Fixed Income Markets

We study the feedback from hedging mortgage portfolios on the level and volatility of interest rates. We incorporate the supply shocks resulting from...

June 2013
DP 722
Aytek Malkhozov
Philippe Mueller
Andrea Vedolin
Gyuri Venter

Academic journals

An institutional theory of momentum and reversal

Review of Financial Studies, 26 (5). pp. 1087-1145. 

May 2013
Dimitri Vayanos
Paul Woolley

Discussion Papers

Comomentum: Inferring Arbitrage Activity from Return Correlations

We propose a novel measure of arbitrage activity to examine whether arbitrageurs can have a destabilizing effect in the stock market. We apply our...

April 2013
DP 721
Dong Lou
Christopher Polk

Opinion Pieces

Long-term battle to drive out short-term risk

Risk metrics should be based on asset cash flows.

March 2013
Paul Woolley

Discussion Papers

Does herding behavior reveal skill? An analysis of mutual fund performance

This paper finds that fund herding, defined as the tendency of a mutual fund to follow past aggregate institutional trades, is an important predictor...

March 2013
DP 720
Hao Jiang
Michela Verardo

Academic journals

CDS auctions

Review of Financial Studies, 26 (3). pp. 768-805. 

March 2013
Mikhail Chernov
Alexander S. Gorbenko
Igor Makarov

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Cognitive Foundations of Finance Conference

5th Annual Conference on Non-Bank Financial Sector and Finan ...

Global financial system: old themes, new risks

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Is Index Concentration an Inevitable Consequence of Market-C ...

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Marketwide Memory

Bond Supply, Yield Drifts, and Liquidity Provision Before Ma ...

Causal Narratives

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