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Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

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Discussion Papers

Speculative and Precautionary Demand for Liquidity in Competitive Banking Markets

We demonstrate that the co-existence of different motives for liquidity preferences profoundly affects the efficiency of financial intermediation...

June 2021
DP 833
Diemo Dietrich
Thomas Gehrig

Discussion Papers

The Market for CEOs

We study the market for CEOs of large publicly-traded US firms, analyze new CEOs’ prior connections to the hiring firm, and explore how hiring choices...

June 2021
DP 832
Peter Cziraki
Dirk Jenter

Discussion Papers

Using a mean changing stochastic processes exit-entry model for stock market long-short prediction

Stochastic processes is one of the key operations research tools for analysis of complex phenomenon. This paper has a unique application to the study...

June 2021
DP 831
Sebastien Lleo
Mikhail N. Zhitlukhin
William T Ziemba

Opinion Pieces

CEPS/ECMI Policy Brief – Why finalizing Basel III is good for the European banking sector

Basel III is an internationally agreed set of measures to strengthen the regulation, supervision and risk management of banks. Finalising the 2017...

May 2021
Pedro Duarte Neves

Discussion Papers

Sustainability in a Risky World

This paper studies the restrictions on consumption, portfolio choice, and social discounting implied by a sustainability constraint, that utility...

April 2021
DP 830
John Y. Campbell
Ian Martin

Opinion Pieces

Measuring human capital: Learning matters more than schooling

Human capital is a critical component of economic development. But the links between growth and human capital – when measured by years of schooling –...

April 2021
Noam Angrist
Simeon Djankov
Pinelopi K. Goldberg
Harry A. Patrinos

Opinion Pieces

SUERF Policy Brief – The way forward for EU-wide stress tests

EU-wide stress tests have constituted a very useful supervisory tool for increasing the resilience of the EU banking sector. This policy brief claims...

April 2021
Pedro Duarte Neves

Discussion Papers

Property Rights and Urban Form

How do the different elements in the standard bundle of property rights, including those of possession and transfer, influence the shape of cities...

April 2021
DP 813
Simeon Djankov
Edward Glaeser
Valeria Perotti
Andrei Shleifer

Academic journals

Lending Cycles and Real Outcomes: Costs of Political Misalignment

The Economic Journal, 131(693),  2763–2796

March 2021
Çağatay Bircan
Orkun Saka

Discussion Papers

Factor Demand and Factor Returns

A mutual fund’s demand for a pricing factor, measured by the loading of the fund’s returns on the factor’s returns, is persistent over time. When...

March 2021
DP 829
Cameron Peng
Chen Wang

Discussion Papers

Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume

We propose an extrapolative model of bubbles to explain the sharp rise in prices and volume observed in historical financial bubbles. The model...

March 2021
DP 828
Jingchi Liao
Cameron Peng
Ning Zhu

Academic journals

Measuring human capital using global learning data

Nature, 92, 403-408

March 2021
Noam Angrist
Simeon Djankov
Pinelopi K. Goldberg
Harry A. Patrinos

Opinion Pieces

US business dynamism rises

Steep falls in entrepreneurial activity were recorded in early 2020 across G7 economies. In the US, however, the creation of US startups shot up by 24...

March 2021
Simeon Djankov
Eva (Yiwen) Zhang

Discussion Papers

The Role of Sentiment in the Economy: 1920 to 1934

This paper investigates the role of sentiment in the US macro economy from 1920 to 1934. We use 2.4 million digitized articles from the Wall St...

February 2021
DP 800
Ali Kabiri
Harold James
John Landon-Lane
David Tuckett
Rickard Nyman

Books

Shaping Africa’s Post-Covid Recovery

With the exception of some flashpoints in Northern and Southern Africa, the continent has been largely spared from the direct health effect of Covid...

February 2021
Rabah Arezki
Simeon Djankov
Ugo Panizza

Discussion Papers

Stake-holder Firms and the Reform of Local Public Finance in China

Since 1978 China has developed strongly using a particular form of capitalism which has relied upon close relations between private enterprise and the...

February 2021
DP 827
Ron Anderson

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Blended finance needs to scale 10x: can it? will it?

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Creditor-on-Creditor Violence and Secured Debt Dynamics

AI Personality Extraction from Faces: Labor Market Implicati ...

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Artificial intelligence and financial crises

Shadow Banks on the Rise: Evidence Across Market Segments

The Structure of Leveraged Buyouts and the Free-Rider Proble ...

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