Discussion Papers

Predicting stock market crashes is a focus of interest for both researchers and practitioners. Several prediction models have been developed, mostly...

We examine bankruptcy within business groups. Groups have incentives to support financially distressed subsidiaries as the bankruptcy of a subsidiary...

We present a novel approach that incorporates individual entity stress testing and losses from systemic risk effects (SE losses) into macroprudential...

This paper presents the Systemic Risk and Interconnectedness (SyRIN) tool. SyRIN allows a comprehensive assessment of systemic risk via quantification...

We consider the market for a risky asset with heterogeneous valuations. Private information that agents have about their own valuation is reflected in...

We propose a method to capture the notion of resilience, the dynamic aspect of liquidity in the limit order book, through the Threshold Exceedance...

We study the resolution of global banks by national regulators. Single-point-of-entry (SPOE) resolution, where loss-absorbing capital is shared across...

We propose a model of trade in over-the-counter (OTC) markets in which each dealer with private information can engage in bilateral transactions with...

We show that Eastern Orthodox believers are less happy compared to those of Catholic and Protestant faith using data covering more than 100 countries...

We study the effect of superstar firms on an important human capital decision – college students’ choice of major. Past salient, extreme events in an...

We study the effects of stock market volatility on risk-taking and financial crises by constructing a cross-country database spanning up to 211 years...

Macroprudential policy is now based around a countercyclical buffer, relating capital requirements for banks to the degree of excess credit in the...

We present a new, theoretically motivated, forecasting variable for exchange rates that is based on the prices of quanto index contracts, and show via...

This paper presents a methodology to infer multivariate densities that characterize the asset values for a system of financial institutions, and...

This paper provides an explanation for the variety of contracts offered by competitive firms for seemingly identical products or services. I show that...

Using panel data for 189 economies from 2004 to 2016, we show that business-friendly regulations are correlated with the poverty headcount at the...