Research highlights
Influential research by members of the Financial Markets Group has been published in some of the most recognised international journals in Economics and Finance, such as the American Economic Review, Econometrica, the Journal of Finance, the Journal of Financial Economics, the Journal of Political Economy, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the Review of Economic Studies, and the Review of Financial Studies. A sample of recent papers is below.
Research highlight
Informational Black Holes in Financial Markets
Journal of Finance, 78 (6), 3099-3140
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Corporate Capture of Blockchain Governance
Review of Financial Studies, 36 (4), 1364–1407
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Asset Management Contracts and Equilibrium Prices
Journal of Political Economy, 130(12), 3146-3201
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Measuring the welfare cost of asymmetric information in consumer credit markets
Journal of Financial Economics, 146 (3), 821-840
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Heterogeneous Global Booms and Busts
American Economic Review, 112 (7), 2178-2212
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Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Lender of Last Resort
The Review of Economic Studies, 89(4), 1654–1693
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Market efficiency in the age of big data
Journal of Financial Economics, 145(1), 154-177
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Public Procurement in Law and Practice
American Economic Review, 112 (4), 1091-1117
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Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics
The Review of Economic Studies, 89 (1), 481-514
All publications
Pricing catastrophe insurance derivatives
We investigate the valuation of catastrophe insurance derivatives that are traded at the Chicago Board of Trade. By modeling the underlying index as a...
Analysis of spreads in the dollar/euro and Deutsche Mark/dollar foreign exchange markets
This paper tries to provide a simple explanation for the empirical finding, documented here and also by Hau, Killeen and Moore (2002), that spreads in...
The fallacy of new business creation as a disciplining device for managers
This paper investigates a negative externality of new business creation. When being perceived as a good manager is a necessary condition to establish...
Asymmetric information, heterogeneity in risk perceptions and insurance: an explanation to a puzzle
Given that, in equilibrium, all agents freely opt for strictly positive own coverage, competitive models of asymmetric information predict a positive...
Performance persistence of pension fund managers
This paper examines persistence over time in the performance of fund managers responsible for making the investment decisions of UK pension funds...
Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities
This paper shows that many of the empirical biases of the Black and Scholes option pricing model can be explained by Bayesian learning effects. In the...
Self-Confidence and Survival
We consider the impact of history on the survival of a monopolist selling single units in discrete time periods, whose quality is learned slowly. If...
Asset Price Dynamics with Value-at-Risk Constrained Traders
Risk management systems in current use treat the statistical relations governing asset returns as being exogenous, and attempt to estimate risk only...
Rational limits to arbitrage
It is often argued that asset prices exhibit patterns incompatible with the behaviour of rational, optimising agents. This paper proposes a rational...
Financial development, agency and the pace of adoption of new techniques
We study the relation of financial development and the pace of technological advance in a dynamic agency theoretic model. A firm which is financed by...
Crisis costs and debtor discipline: the efficacy of public policy in sovereign debt crises
Recent debate on the reform of the international financial architecture has highlighted the potentially important role of the official sector in...