On the financial market consequences of Brexit
Brexit creates new opportunities and new risks for the British and EU financial markets. Both could benefit, but a more likely outcome is a fall in...
Opinion Pieces
Cyber risk as systemic risk
The threat to the financial system posed by cyber risk is often claimed to be systemic. This column argues against this, pointing out that almost all...
Insurance and systemic risk: No easy conclusions
The IMF’s latest Global Financial Stability Report devotes for the first time a chapter to the systemic risks potentially associated with the...
Stress testing and macroprudential regulation: A transatlantic assessment
Since the onset of the Global Crisis in 2007-08, stress testing has emerged as a major component of the supervisory toolkit. This column introduces a...
The macro-micro conflict
There has always been conflict between macro- and microeconomic regulation. Microeconomic policy reigns supreme during good times, and macro during...
If Greece defaults, dominoes will not fall
How would a unilateral Greek default affect politics and policy elsewhere in Europe? A Greek default is more likely to strengthen voter support across...
Why Iceland can now remove capital controls
Iceland has just announced it is getting rid of its capital controls. This column argues that the government’s plan is a credible, efficient and fair...
Default and political survival in networked democracies since 1870
Many fear that a Greek default would lead voters elsewhere in Europe to favour default over austerity. This column argues that it is more likely to...
What the Swiss FX shock says about risk models
The Swiss central bank last week abandoned its euro exchange rate ceiling. This column argues that the fallout from the decision demonstrates the...
Averting financial crisis
Jeffrey Chwieroth and Jon Danielsson discuss the political challenges of the macroprudential agenda in the ESRC's annual flagship magazine Britain in...
Iceland’s post-Crisis economy: A myth or a miracle?
Icelandic voters recently ejected its post-Crisis government – a government that successfully avoided economic collapse when the odds were stacked...
The capital controls in Cyprus and the Icelandic experience
Cyprus has imposed temporary capital controls. This column sheds light on how temporary and how damaging they are likely to be, based on Iceland’s...
Capital controls are still ruining Iceland after half a decade
One aspect of the Cypriot crisis resolution is of particular concern. As authorities fear that anyone with money in Cyprus will want to take it out as...
Towards a more procyclical financial system
Is the fact that different banks have different risk models problematic? Contrary to the Basel Committee and the European Banking Authority, this...
