Discussion Papers

We demonstrate that the co-existence of different motives for liquidity preferences profoundly affects the efficiency of financial intermediation...

Stochastic processes is one of the key operations research tools for analysis of complex phenomenon. This paper has a unique application to the study...

This paper investigates the role of sentiment in the US macro economy from 1920 to 1934. We use 2.4 million digitized articles from the Wall St...

Since 1978 China has developed strongly using a particular form of capitalism which has relied upon close relations between private enterprise and the...

In this study, we propose an implied forward-looking measure for systemic risk that employs the information from put option prices, the Systemic...

It is sometimes said that an effect of the COVID-19 pandemic will be heightened appreciation of the importance of scientific research and expertise...

What drives actual government policies after financial crises? In this paper, we first present a simple model of post-crisis policymaking driven by...

We generalise a stochastic version of the workhorse SIR (Susceptible-Infectious- Removed) epidemiological model to account for spatial dynamics...

This paper analyses of how risk is allocated in China’s markets for debt issued by non-financial enterprises. Compared to other major corporate bond...

What will be the political legacy of the Coronavirus pandemic? We find that epidemic exposure in an individual’s “impressionable years” (ages 18 to 25...

An effect of the COVID-19 pandemic, it is sometimes suggested, will be to reverse the secular trend toward questioning the value of scientific...

We estimate the survival time of nearly 7,000 firms in a dozen of high-income and middle-income countries in a scenario of extreme economic distress...

We exploit the exogenous shock of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets and regulatory restrictions on dark trading to investigate how volatility...

We propose a novel, and simple, Bayesian estimation and model selection procedure for crosssectional asset pricing. Our approach, that allows for both...

Under the threat of earthquakes, long-term policy makers need tools to optimally decide on the economic trajectories that will maximize the society...

Financial crisis can trigger policy reversals, i.e. they can lead to a process of reregulation of financial markets. Using a recent comprehensive...