Subadditivity re–examined: the case for value-at-risk
This paper explores the potential for violations of VaR subadditivity both theoretically and by simulations, and finds that for most practical...
The Dynamics of venture capital contracts
We analyze the degree of contract completeness with respect to staging of venture capital investments using a hand-collected German data set of...
On modelling endogenous default
Not only in the classic Arrow-Debreu model, but also in many mainstream macro models, an implicit assumption is that all agents honour their...
The Future of Central Banking
Politics and the Creation of a European SEC: The Optimal UK Strategy – Constructive Inconsistency
This paper analyses the factors influencing whether a European Securities and Exchange Commission (ESEC) will be created and confirms the primary role...
An Essay on the interactions between the Bank of England's forecasts, the MPC's policy adjustments, and the eventual outcome
There are long, (and often variable), lags between a change in interest rates and its effect on real output and inflation. Hence policy should be...
Minority blocks and takeover premia
This paper analyses takeovers of companies owned by atomistic shareholders and by one minority blockholder, all of whom can only decide to tender or...
Reforming public pensions in the US and the UK
This essay describes the current debate on reforming Social Security in the US, along with a brief description of how the program works. Along the way...
Optimal intergenerational risk sharing
This paper studies optimal intergenerational transfer policy under stochastic labor income and capital returns. It has implications for Social...
Long-term debt and hidden borrowing
We consider borrowers with the opportunity to raise funds from a competitive banking sector that shares information, and from an alternative hidden...
Simulated nonparametric estimation of dynamic models with applications to finance
This paper introduces a new class of parameter estimators for dynamic models, called Simulated Nonparametric Estimators (SNE). The SNE minimizes...
Dynamic portfolio and mortgage choice for homeowners
We investigate the impact of owner-occupied housing on financial portfolio and mortgage choice under stochastic inflation and real interest rates. To...
IMF concern for reputation and conditional lending failure: theory and empirics
One possible explanation for the unsatisfactory implementation of IMF conditionality has been attributed to the lack of credibility of the IMF threat...
Estimating structural bond pricing models via simulated maximum likelihood
This paper describes how structural bond pricing models can be estimated using a Simulated Maximum Likelihood procedure developed by Durbin and...
Reputation effects in trading on the New York Stock Exchange
Theory suggests that reputations, developed in repeated face-to-face interactions, allow non- anonymous, floor-based trading venues to attenuate...