Research highlights
Influential research by members of the Financial Markets Group has been published in some of the most recognised international journals in Economics and Finance, such as the American Economic Review, Econometrica, the Journal of Finance, the Journal of Financial Economics, the Journal of Political Economy, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, the Review of Economic Studies, and the Review of Financial Studies. A sample of recent papers is below.
Research highlight
Informational Black Holes in Financial Markets
Journal of Finance, 78 (6), 3099-3140
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Corporate Capture of Blockchain Governance
Review of Financial Studies, 36 (4), 1364–1407
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Asset Management Contracts and Equilibrium Prices
Journal of Political Economy, 130(12), 3146-3201
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Measuring the welfare cost of asymmetric information in consumer credit markets
Journal of Financial Economics, 146 (3), 821-840
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Heterogeneous Global Booms and Busts
American Economic Review, 112 (7), 2178-2212
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Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Lender of Last Resort
The Review of Economic Studies, 89(4), 1654–1693
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Market efficiency in the age of big data
Journal of Financial Economics, 145(1), 154-177
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Public Procurement in Law and Practice
American Economic Review, 112 (4), 1091-1117
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Exchange Rate Exposure and Firm Dynamics
The Review of Economic Studies, 89 (1), 481-514
All publications
Latent fragility: Conditioning banks' joint probability of default on the financial cycle
Journal of International Money and Finance, 146, 103107
Investor Memory and Biased Beliefs: Evidence from the Field
We survey a large representative sample of retail investors in China to elicit their memories of stock market investment and return expectations. We...
The Law of Small Numbers in Financial Markets: Theory and Evidence
We build a model of the law of small numbers (LSN)—the incorrect belief that even small samples represent the properties of the underlying population...
What Drives Repo Haircuts? Evidence from the UK Market
Using a unique transaction-level data, we document that only 60% of bilateral repos held by UK banks are backed by high quality collateral. Banks...
Subtle Discrimination
We introduce the concept of subtle discrimination - biased acts that cannot be objectively ascertained as discriminatory - and study its implications...
The Inference-Forecast Gap in Belief Updating
Evidence from experiments, surveys, and the field has uncovered both underreaction and overreaction to new information. We provide new experimental...
Why so many crises happen when we know why they happen and how to prevent them
Financial crises are not complicated, and many claim to know why they happen and how to prevent them. Why then do they happen with such alarming...
Reducing bureaucratic hassle in Ukraine
A reform removing the need for businesses to use a company seal when dealing with government agencies means ‘signed, sealed and delivered’ has become...
Unintended Consequences of Holding Dollar Assets
We examine a novel mechanism whereby the US dollar’s global dominance can have a large, unexpected impact on foreign Treasury yields in crisis periods...
Correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in random global value chains
This paper is concerned with upstreamness and downstreamness of industries and countries in global value chains. Upstreamness and downstreamness...
The continuing financial fragility of banks
Banks remain fragile, which could be reduced if they held more equity and less debt. Bankers, however, fear this could affect their compensation...
How a regulated utility innovates without breaking things
Safety and stability are essential for public utilities. But they face pressure to innovate to keep up with technological innovation, environmental...
Scale or Yield? A Present-Value Identity
We propose a loglinear present-value identity in which investment ("scale"), profitability ("yield"), and discount rates determine a firm’s market-to...
Upstreamness and downstreamness in input-output analysis from local and aggregate information
Ranking sectors and countries within global value chains is of paramount importance to estimate risks and forecast growth in large economies. However...
How the financial authorities can take advantage of artificial intelligence
Artificial intelligence will both be of considerable help to the financial authorities and bring new challenges. This column argues the authorities...