Conditional probability of default methodology
This paper presents the Conditional Probability of Default (CoPoD) methodology for modelling the probabilities of loan defaults (PoDs) by small and...
Precondition for a Successful Implementation of Supervisors' Prompt Corrective Action: Is There a Case for a Banking Standard in the EU?
Over the past years, several countries around the world have adopted a system of prudential prompt corrective action (PCA). The European Union...
Rent extraction by large shareholders: evidence using dividend policy in the Czech Republic
Using cross-sectional analysis of corporate dividend policy we show that large shareholders extract rents from firms and expropriate minority...
Towards a measure of financial fragility
This paper proposes a measure of financial fragility that is based on eco- nomic welfare in a general equilbrium model calibrated against UK data. The...
Imperfect common knowledge in first generation models of currency crises
First generation models assume that the level of reserves of a Central Bank in a fixed exchange rate regime is common knowledge among consumers, and...
Comparing downside risk measures for heavy tailed distribution
Using regular variation to define heavy tailed distributions, we show that prominent downside risk measures produce similar and con- sistent ranking...
Rare events and annuity market participation
We investigate whether a rare event (like the default of the annuity provider) can explain the annuity market participation puzzle. High risk aversion...
Subadditivity re–examined: the case for value-at-risk
This paper explores the potential for violations of VaR subadditivity both theoretically and by simulations, and finds that for most practical...
The Dynamics of venture capital contracts
We analyze the degree of contract completeness with respect to staging of venture capital investments using a hand-collected German data set of...
On modelling endogenous default
Not only in the classic Arrow-Debreu model, but also in many mainstream macro models, an implicit assumption is that all agents honour their...
The Future of Central Banking
Politics and the Creation of a European SEC: The Optimal UK Strategy – Constructive Inconsistency
This paper analyses the factors influencing whether a European Securities and Exchange Commission (ESEC) will be created and confirms the primary role...
An Essay on the interactions between the Bank of England's forecasts, the MPC's policy adjustments, and the eventual outcome
There are long, (and often variable), lags between a change in interest rates and its effect on real output and inflation. Hence policy should be...