Destabilizing carry trades
We offer a model of currency carry trades in which carry traders earn positive excess returns if they successfully coordinate on supplying excessive...
Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk
The availability of credit varies over the business cycle through shifts in the leverage of financial intermediaries. Empirically, we find that...
Balance Sheet Capacity and Endogenous Risk
Banks operating under Value-at-Risk constraints give rise to a well-defined aggregate balance sheet capacity for the banking sector as a whole that...
Risk Appetite and Endogenous Risk
Risk is endogenous. Equilibrium risk is the fixed point of the mapping that takes perceived risk to actual risk. When risk-neutral traders operate...
Cycles, Contagion and Crises
This Special Paper is a collection of contributions to a conference on Cycles, Contagion and Crises which took place on 28-29 June 2007 at the...
Opening and closing the market: evidence from the London Stock Exchange
Various markets, particularly NASDAQ, have been under pressure from regulators and market participants to introduce call auctions for their opening...
Asset Price Dynamics with Value-at-Risk Constrained Traders
Risk management systems in current use treat the statistical relations governing asset returns as being exogenous, and attempt to estimate risk only...
Crisis costs and debtor discipline: the efficacy of public policy in sovereign debt crises
Recent debate on the reform of the international financial architecture has highlighted the potentially important role of the official sector in...
An Academic Response to Basel II
It is our view that the Basel Committee for Banking Supervision, in its Basel II proposals, has failed to address many of the key deficiencies of the...
Does one Soros make a difference?: a theory of currency crises with large and small traders
Do large investors increase the vulnerability of a country to speculative attacks in the foreign exchange markets? To address this issue, we build a...
Disclosures and asset returns
Public information in financial markets often arrives through the disclosures of interested parties who have a material interest in the reactions of...